AFC playoff scenarios (2 March 2016)
As all of the six AFC teams have completed week 5, the playoff scenarios going into their regular-season finales have been established.While two clubs have booked their firm places in the postseason, the remaing four will be battling for the wild card with one of them in need of a miracle.
Leinfelden Lawyers (AFC South, 4-1)
Their regular-season finale:
Season III, week 6: Leinfelden Lawyers 10, silentsound's Silentknights 21 (Final)
The Lawyers have clinched the Southern Division title and the first-round bye. They will be hosting the winner of the AFC Wild Card Game in the AFC Championship Game.
Eagle Eyes (AFC Australia, 2-3)
Their regular-season finale:
Season III, week 6: Niners Sparrows 34, Eagle Eyes 28 (Final)
The Eyes have clinched the Australian Division title. They will be hosting the AFC Wild Card Game.
Niners Sparrows (AFC South, 2-3)
Their regular-season finale:
Season III, week 6: Niners Sparrows 34, Eagle Eyes 28 (Final)
Games that might be of their interest:
Season III, week 6: igorz malfunxionistz 21, Dicey Beasts 31 (Final)
Season III, week 6: Leinfelden Lawyers 10, silentsound's Silentknights 21 (Final)
The Sparrows will win the wild card, if:
- they beat or tie the Eyes or
- LAW win or tie vs SIL and
- MAL win or tie vs BEA
Mathematical odds to win the wild card: 62.5%
Dicey Beasts (AFC Australia, 1-4)
Their regular-season finale:
Season III, week 6: igorz malfunxionistz 21, Dicey Beasts 31 (Final)
Game of their interest:
Season III, week 6: Niners Sparrows 34, Eagle Eyes 28 (Final)
The Beasts will win the wild card, if:
- they beat the malfunxionistz and
- EYE win vs SPA
Mathematical odds to win the wild card: 25.0%
igorz malfunxionistz (AFC Australia, 1-4)
Their regular-season finale:
Season III, week 6: igorz malfunxionistz 21, Dicey Beasts 31 (Final)
Games of their interest:
Season III, week 6: Niners Sparrows 34, Eagle Eyes 28 (Final)
Season III, week 6: Leinfelden Lawyers 10, silentsound's Silentknights 21 (Final)
The malfunxionistz will win the wild card, if:
- they beat the Beasts and
- EYE win vs SPA and
- SIL win vs LAW
Mathematical odds to win the wild card: 12.5%
silentsound's Silentknights (AFC South, 1-4)
Their regular-season finale:
Season III, week 6: Leinfelden Lawyers 10, silentsound's Silentknights 21 (Final)
Games of their interest:
Season III, week 6: Niners Sparrows 34, Eagle Eyes 28 (Final)
Season III, week 6: igorz malfunxionistz 21, Dicey Beasts 31 (Final)
The silentsounds will win the wild card, if:
- they beat the Lawyers and
- EYE win vs SPA and
- MAL@BEA ends in a tie
Mathematical odds to win the wild card: under 0.1%
All scenarios mentioned above are subject to correction without prior notice.
When calculating the odds to win the wild card, it is presumed that each team has a 50-percent chance to win their respective games and that no game will end in a tie.